OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of a Lean-formalized proof establishing statements C and D of the Clay Navier-Stokes formulation has anchored trader consensus against retraction at 93% implied probability for “No.” The public repository, finite-energy singularity construction under smooth forcing, and machine-verifiable artifacts have withstood initial scrutiny focused more on priority disputes than outright mathematical invalidity. While the result uses an external force term permitted by the official problem statement, recent independent work questioning extensions to the unforced case has not yet invalidated the narrower claim. Key upcoming catalysts include Clay Institute review timelines and any peer validation through year-end that could surface discrepancies capable of prompting an official OpenAI correction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of a Lean-formalized proof establishing statements C and D of the Clay Navier-Stokes formulation has anchored trader consensus against retraction at 93% implied probability for “No.” The public repository, finite-energy singularity construction under smooth forcing, and machine-verifiable artifacts have withstood initial scrutiny focused more on priority disputes than outright mathematical invalidity. While the result uses an external force term permitted by the official problem statement, recent independent work questioning extensions to the unforced case has not yet invalidated the narrower claim. Key upcoming catalysts include Clay Institute review timelines and any peer validation through year-end that could surface discrepancies capable of prompting an official OpenAI correction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$122Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of a Lean-formalized proof establishing statements C and D of the Clay Navier-Stokes formulation has anchored trader consensus against retraction at 93% implied probability for “No.” The public repository, finite-energy singularity construction under smooth forcing, and machine-verifiable artifacts have withstood initial scrutiny focused more on priority disputes than outright mathematical invalidity. While the result uses an external force term permitted by the official problem statement, recent independent work questioning extensions to the unforced case has not yet invalidated the narrower claim. Key upcoming catalysts include Clay Institute review timelines and any peer validation through year-end that could surface discrepancies capable of prompting an official OpenAI correction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of a Lean-formalized proof establishing statements C and D of the Clay Navier-Stokes formulation has anchored trader consensus against retraction at 93% implied probability for “No.” The public repository, finite-energy singularity construction under smooth forcing, and machine-verifiable artifacts have withstood initial scrutiny focused more on priority disputes than outright mathematical invalidity. While the result uses an external force term permitted by the official problem statement, recent independent work questioning extensions to the unforced case has not yet invalidated the narrower claim. Key upcoming catalysts include Clay Institute review timelines and any peer validation through year-end that could surface discrepancies capable of prompting an official OpenAI correction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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