Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by her 2024 reelection margin, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.3 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district, encompassing Polk and Yamhill counties plus portions of Marion, Clackamas, and Washington counties including Salem, has shown reliable Democratic support in recent cycles. Republican nominee David Russ, a repeat candidate and former Dundee mayor, advanced unopposed in the May 19 primary but has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this seat. An unaffiliated candidate, Jason Faler, is also on the ballot but lacks comparable visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though low-probability disruptions such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,801 Vol.
$26,801 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Andrea Salinas (D)
96%
David Russ (R)
1%
$26,801 Vol.
$26,801 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Andrea Salinas (D)
$16,637 Vol.
96%
David Russ (R)
$10,164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by her 2024 reelection margin, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.3 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district, encompassing Polk and Yamhill counties plus portions of Marion, Clackamas, and Washington counties including Salem, has shown reliable Democratic support in recent cycles. Republican nominee David Russ, a repeat candidate and former Dundee mayor, advanced unopposed in the May 19 primary but has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this seat. An unaffiliated candidate, Jason Faler, is also on the ballot but lacks comparable visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though low-probability disruptions such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$26,801Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by her 2024 reelection margin, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.3 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district, encompassing Polk and Yamhill counties plus portions of Marion, Clackamas, and Washington counties including Salem, has shown reliable Democratic support in recent cycles. Republican nominee David Russ, a repeat candidate and former Dundee mayor, advanced unopposed in the May 19 primary but has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this seat. An unaffiliated candidate, Jason Faler, is also on the ballot but lacks comparable visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though low-probability disruptions such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,801Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by her 2024 reelection margin, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.3 million, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district, encompassing Polk and Yamhill counties plus portions of Marion, Clackamas, and Washington counties including Salem, has shown reliable Democratic support in recent cycles. Republican nominee David Russ, a repeat candidate and former Dundee mayor, advanced unopposed in the May 19 primary but has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this seat. An unaffiliated candidate, Jason Faler, is also on the ballot but lacks comparable visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though low-probability disruptions such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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