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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 98.6%

Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%

Professeur Gisvaldo <1%

Santiago Belizário <1%

Polymarket

$56,777 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles 98.6%

Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%

Professeur Gisvaldo <1%

Santiago Belizário <1%

Polymarket

$56,777 Vol.

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$48,900 Vol.

99%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professeur Gisvaldo

Professeur Gisvaldo

$772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professeur Jurity

Professeur Jurity

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, driven by consistent polling margins of 30–50 points over Joel Rodrigues (PP) and approval ratings near 60–72%. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and other surveys from August–September 2026 show Fonteles at 56–73% of valid votes, supported by his record on health infrastructure expansion, municipal resource decentralization, and alliances with mayors and the federal PT administration. Campaign activities, including sabatinas and visits across the state’s 224 municipalities, have reinforced his position. An ongoing MPF probe into tax exemptions for agribusiness represents a potential risk factor, though it has not shifted current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A late reversal would require a major unforeseen development before election day.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$56,777
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, driven by consistent polling margins of 30–50 points over Joel Rodrigues (PP) and approval ratings near 60–72%. Recent AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and other surveys from August–September 2026 show Fonteles at 56–73% of valid votes, supported by his record on health infrastructure expansion, municipal resource decentralization, and alliances with mayors and the federal PT administration. Campaign activities, including sabatinas and visits across the state’s 224 municipalities, have reinforced his position. An ongoing MPF probe into tax exemptions for agribusiness represents a potential risk factor, though it has not shifted current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A late reversal would require a major unforeseen development before election day.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$56,777
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

81%
Oui
icon for Sergio Moro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná ?

Sergio Moro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná ?

84%
Oui
icon for Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

98%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rafael Fonteles » à 99%, suivi de « Dra. Lúcia Santos » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » a généré $56.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » est « Rafael Fonteles » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dra. Lúcia Santos » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.