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icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
Politique·Sénat Du Texas

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
Politique·Sénat Du Texas

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas

Polymarket

$1,308,732 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,308,732 Vol.

icon for James Talarico (D)

James Talarico (D)

$573,980 Vol.

57%

icon for Ken Paxton (R)

Ken Paxton (R)

$734,752 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Recent polling shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in a statistical dead heat or with Talarico holding narrow leads among likely voters, reflecting a competitive contest less than seven weeks before the November 3 general election.** Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff with Trump’s endorsement, consolidating Republican support but carrying significant legal and ethical baggage that has drawn heavy outside opposition spending. Talarico has outraised Paxton substantially, appealed to independents, women, and Hispanic voters, and positioned himself on kitchen-table issues such as energy costs. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican, with trader consensus pricing in the race’s tightness amid strong Democratic turnout potential in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,308,732
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Recent polling shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in a statistical dead heat or with Talarico holding narrow leads among likely voters, reflecting a competitive contest less than seven weeks before the November 3 general election.** Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff with Trump’s endorsement, consolidating Republican support but carrying significant legal and ethical baggage that has drawn heavy outside opposition spending. Talarico has outraised Paxton substantially, appealed to independents, women, and Hispanic voters, and positioned himself on kitchen-table issues such as energy costs. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican, with trader consensus pricing in the race’s tightness amid strong Democratic turnout potential in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,308,732
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

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Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « James Talarico (D) » à 57%, suivi de « Ken Paxton (R) » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas » a généré $1.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas » est « James Talarico (D) » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ken Paxton (R) » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.