Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
<1% chance
$110,947 Vol.
$110,947 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
<1% chance
$110,947 Vol.
$110,947 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Marché ouvert : Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$110,947Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$110,947Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the absence of credible indicators and repeated official confirmation of his marriage to Peng Liyuan. State media and diplomatic records document her ongoing public role as first lady, including joint appearances and spouse events at the 2026 SCO Summit in Bishkek and a June 2026 state visit to North Korea. Earlier 2025 rumors lacked substantiation and were contradicted by subsequent verified activities. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize a stable family image for leadership continuity, with no reported procedural steps, announcements, or credible leaks suggesting change. While health events, internal power shifts, or unforeseen personal developments could theoretically alter the situation before year-end, current evidence and institutional controls support the prevailing market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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