Recent polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) holding a narrow combined-vote edge over Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), all within margins of error amid roughly 19% undecided voters. Marina’s late entry into the Senate race after alliance shifts, paired with high rejection rates for established figures like Renan, has kept second-place probabilities fluid in trader assessments. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility, as voters select two distinct candidates, while earlier frontrunners such as Alfredo Gaspar withdrew. Late-campaign developments, including endorsements, turnout in key regions, or shifts in rejection trends, could separate the contenders before the October election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेयान 44%
मरीना JHC 34%
आर्थर लीरा 18%
दावी दाविनो फिल्हो 6.8%
$20,518 वॉल्यूम
$20,518 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेयान
44%
मरीना JHC
38%
आर्थर लीरा
18%
दावी दाविनो फिल्हो
7%
डॉ. वांडरले
1%
अलेक्ज़ांड्रे फ्लेमिंग
<1%
मारीडसन
<1%
रेयान 44%
मरीना JHC 34%
आर्थर लीरा 18%
दावी दाविनो फिल्हो 6.8%
$20,518 वॉल्यूम
$20,518 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेयान
$8,233 वॉल्यूम
44%
मरीना JHC
$3,913 वॉल्यूम
38%
आर्थर लीरा
$5,338 वॉल्यूम
18%
दावी दाविनो फिल्हो
$984 वॉल्यूम
7%
डॉ. वांडरले
$813 वॉल्यूम
1%
अलेक्ज़ांड्रे फ्लेमिंग
$518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मारीडसन
$719 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) holding a narrow combined-vote edge over Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), all within margins of error amid roughly 19% undecided voters. Marina’s late entry into the Senate race after alliance shifts, paired with high rejection rates for established figures like Renan, has kept second-place probabilities fluid in trader assessments. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility, as voters select two distinct candidates, while earlier frontrunners such as Alfredo Gaspar withdrew. Late-campaign developments, including endorsements, turnout in key regions, or shifts in rejection trends, could separate the contenders before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,518समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) holding a narrow combined-vote edge over Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), all within margins of error amid roughly 19% undecided voters. Marina’s late entry into the Senate race after alliance shifts, paired with high rejection rates for established figures like Renan, has kept second-place probabilities fluid in trader assessments. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility, as voters select two distinct candidates, while earlier frontrunners such as Alfredo Gaspar withdrew. Late-campaign developments, including endorsements, turnout in key regions, or shifts in rejection trends, could separate the contenders before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$20,518समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) holding a narrow combined-vote edge over Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), all within margins of error amid roughly 19% undecided voters. Marina’s late entry into the Senate race after alliance shifts, paired with high rejection rates for established figures like Renan, has kept second-place probabilities fluid in trader assessments. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility, as voters select two distinct candidates, while earlier frontrunners such as Alfredo Gaspar withdrew. Late-campaign developments, including endorsements, turnout in key regions, or shifts in rejection trends, could separate the contenders before the October election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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