Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and current senator with broad alliances including MDB, Republicanos, and Lula-aligned parties, leads trader consensus at 61% due to consistent polling advantages in the fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from late August, such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 26–34% of first-round intentions, ahead of incumbent Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, elected indirectly in May 2026), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The remaining candidates trail with single-digit or negligible shares, reflecting limited momentum despite the possibility of a runoff on October 25. High undecided shares and the state's 2.8 million electorate continue to shape positioning, with Aziz's experience and coalition breadth cited as key differentiators in current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाओमार अजीज 61%
प्रोफेसोरा मारिया डू कार्मो 25%
रोबर्टो सिदाडे 15.9%
गिल्बर्टो वास्कोंसेलोस <1%
$25,490 वॉल्यूम
$25,490 वॉल्यूम
ओमार अजीज
61%
प्रोफेसोरा मारिया डू कार्मो
25%
रोबर्टो सिदाडे
16%
गिल्बर्टो वास्कोंसेलोस
1%
काबो दासीओलो
<1%
डेविड अल्मेडा
<1%
इसाएल मुंदुरुकु
<1%
ओमार अजीज 61%
प्रोफेसोरा मारिया डू कार्मो 25%
रोबर्टो सिदाडे 15.9%
गिल्बर्टो वास्कोंसेलोस <1%
$25,490 वॉल्यूम
$25,490 वॉल्यूम
ओमार अजीज
61%
प्रोफेसोरा मारिया डू कार्मो
25%
रोबर्टो सिदाडे
16%
गिल्बर्टो वास्कोंसेलोस
1%
काबो दासीओलो
<1%
डेविड अल्मेडा
<1%
इसाएल मुंदुरुकु
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and current senator with broad alliances including MDB, Republicanos, and Lula-aligned parties, leads trader consensus at 61% due to consistent polling advantages in the fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from late August, such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 26–34% of first-round intentions, ahead of incumbent Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, elected indirectly in May 2026), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The remaining candidates trail with single-digit or negligible shares, reflecting limited momentum despite the possibility of a runoff on October 25. High undecided shares and the state's 2.8 million electorate continue to shape positioning, with Aziz's experience and coalition breadth cited as key differentiators in current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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