California's 11th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, eliminating any Republican path to the ballot. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban San Francisco base, high Democratic turnout patterns, and absence of competitive opposition sustain trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen scandals remain the only plausible variables that could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 वॉल्यूम
98%
Republican Party
$6,793 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, eliminating any Republican path to the ballot. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban San Francisco base, high Democratic turnout patterns, and absence of competitive opposition sustain trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen scandals remain the only plausible variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,773समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, eliminating any Republican path to the ballot. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban San Francisco base, high Democratic turnout patterns, and absence of competitive opposition sustain trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen scandals remain the only plausible variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,773समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, eliminating any Republican path to the ballot. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban San Francisco base, high Democratic turnout patterns, and absence of competitive opposition sustain trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen scandals remain the only plausible variables that could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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