Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district general election due to his strong June 2026 primary performance, where he secured over 75 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Peter Soule. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Liccardo's established fundraising edge. With the November 3 contest weeks away, the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$107,267 वॉल्यूम
$107,267 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
सैम लिकार्डो (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
पीटर सूले (रिपब्लिकन)
2%
$107,267 वॉल्यूम
$107,267 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
सैम लिकार्डो (डेमोक्रेट)
$52,992 वॉल्यूम
96%
पीटर सूले (रिपब्लिकन)
$54,275 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district general election due to his strong June 2026 primary performance, where he secured over 75 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Peter Soule. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Liccardo's established fundraising edge. With the November 3 contest weeks away, the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,267समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district general election due to his strong June 2026 primary performance, where he secured over 75 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Peter Soule. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Liccardo's established fundraising edge. With the November 3 contest weeks away, the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$107,267समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district general election due to his strong June 2026 primary performance, where he secured over 75 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Peter Soule. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Liccardo's established fundraising edge. With the November 3 contest weeks away, the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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