Derek Tran, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in California's 45th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. He secured 53.8% in the June 2 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Chuong Vo's 15.3% in a crowded GOP field. Post-redistricting under Proposition 50, the Orange County district carries a stronger Democratic lean, building on Tran's narrow 2024 victory. Tran has maintained a substantial fundraising edge, with nearly $5 million raised compared to Vo's roughly $500,000. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the combined impact of incumbency, resource advantages, and district composition on trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
$35,629 वॉल्यूम
$35,629 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेरेक ट्रान (डेमोक्रेट)
90%
चुओंग वॉ (रिपब्लिकन)
9%
$35,629 वॉल्यूम
$35,629 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेरेक ट्रान (डेमोक्रेट)
$19,878 वॉल्यूम
90%
चुओंग वॉ (रिपब्लिकन)
$15,751 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Derek Tran, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in California's 45th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. He secured 53.8% in the June 2 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Chuong Vo's 15.3% in a crowded GOP field. Post-redistricting under Proposition 50, the Orange County district carries a stronger Democratic lean, building on Tran's narrow 2024 victory. Tran has maintained a substantial fundraising edge, with nearly $5 million raised compared to Vo's roughly $500,000. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the combined impact of incumbency, resource advantages, and district composition on trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,629समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Derek Tran, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in California's 45th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. He secured 53.8% in the June 2 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Chuong Vo's 15.3% in a crowded GOP field. Post-redistricting under Proposition 50, the Orange County district carries a stronger Democratic lean, building on Tran's narrow 2024 victory. Tran has maintained a substantial fundraising edge, with nearly $5 million raised compared to Vo's roughly $500,000. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the combined impact of incumbency, resource advantages, and district composition on trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$35,629समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Tran, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in California's 45th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. He secured 53.8% in the June 2 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Chuong Vo's 15.3% in a crowded GOP field. Post-redistricting under Proposition 50, the Orange County district carries a stronger Democratic lean, building on Tran's narrow 2024 victory. Tran has maintained a substantial fundraising edge, with nearly $5 million raised compared to Vo's roughly $500,000. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the combined impact of incumbency, resource advantages, and district composition on trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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