Incumbent Mike Levin holds a commanding position in the CA-49 race due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to challenger Armen Kurdian's roughly $59,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential margins and voter registration data. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Levin securing 55.9% and advancing alongside Kurdian after outpacing other Republican contenders. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages and limited recent shifts, though late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-49 House Election Winner
CA-49 House Election Winner
$28,210 वॉल्यूम
$28,210 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
माइक लेविन (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
आर्मेन कुर्डियन (रिपब्लिकन)
4%
$28,210 वॉल्यूम
$28,210 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
माइक लेविन (डेमोक्रेट)
$19,762 वॉल्यूम
96%
आर्मेन कुर्डियन (रिपब्लिकन)
$8,448 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Levin holds a commanding position in the CA-49 race due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to challenger Armen Kurdian's roughly $59,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential margins and voter registration data. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Levin securing 55.9% and advancing alongside Kurdian after outpacing other Republican contenders. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages and limited recent shifts, though late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,210समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Levin holds a commanding position in the CA-49 race due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to challenger Armen Kurdian's roughly $59,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential margins and voter registration data. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Levin securing 55.9% and advancing alongside Kurdian after outpacing other Republican contenders. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages and limited recent shifts, though late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,210समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Levin holds a commanding position in the CA-49 race due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to challenger Armen Kurdian's roughly $59,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential margins and voter registration data. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Levin securing 55.9% and advancing alongside Kurdian after outpacing other Republican contenders. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages and limited recent shifts, though late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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