Recent polling from sources like Pew and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates drawing roughly 8-15% support among Black registered voters in 2026 midterm generic ballot tests, reflecting erosion from 2024 gains amid declining presidential approval ratings in the low teens. Economic concerns, including inflation and unemployment trends, along with policy moves on DEI and redistricting, have contributed to softer sentiment in this demographic compared to earlier post-election highs. The tight clustering around 8-13% in trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether modest shifts in party identification and turnout among younger Black voters will hold through November or revert toward historical Democratic margins exceeding 80%. Scheduled fall debates and economic data releases could influence final positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8-9% 22%
8% से कम 9%
नया
नया
6 नव, 2026
8% से कम
9%
8-9%
22%
10–11%
26%
12–13%
22%
14–15%
9%
16–17%
6%
18%+
3%
10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8-9% 22%
8% से कम 9%
नया
नया
6 नव, 2026
8% से कम
$60 वॉल्यूम
9%
8-9%
$538 वॉल्यूम
22%
10–11%
$461 वॉल्यूम
26%
12–13%
$351 वॉल्यूम
22%
14–15%
$192 वॉल्यूम
9%
16–17%
$20 वॉल्यूम
6%
18%+
$91 वॉल्यूम
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling from sources like Pew and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates drawing roughly 8-15% support among Black registered voters in 2026 midterm generic ballot tests, reflecting erosion from 2024 gains amid declining presidential approval ratings in the low teens. Economic concerns, including inflation and unemployment trends, along with policy moves on DEI and redistricting, have contributed to softer sentiment in this demographic compared to earlier post-election highs. The tight clustering around 8-13% in trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether modest shifts in party identification and turnout among younger Black voters will hold through November or revert toward historical Democratic margins exceeding 80%. Scheduled fall debates and economic data releases could influence final positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,713समाप्ति तिथि
7 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling from sources like Pew and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates drawing roughly 8-15% support among Black registered voters in 2026 midterm generic ballot tests, reflecting erosion from 2024 gains amid declining presidential approval ratings in the low teens. Economic concerns, including inflation and unemployment trends, along with policy moves on DEI and redistricting, have contributed to softer sentiment in this demographic compared to earlier post-election highs. The tight clustering around 8-13% in trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether modest shifts in party identification and turnout among younger Black voters will hold through November or revert toward historical Democratic margins exceeding 80%. Scheduled fall debates and economic data releases could influence final positioning.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$1,713समाप्ति तिथि
7 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources like Pew and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates drawing roughly 8-15% support among Black registered voters in 2026 midterm generic ballot tests, reflecting erosion from 2024 gains amid declining presidential approval ratings in the low teens. Economic concerns, including inflation and unemployment trends, along with policy moves on DEI and redistricting, have contributed to softer sentiment in this demographic compared to earlier post-election highs. The tight clustering around 8-13% in trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether modest shifts in party identification and turnout among younger Black voters will hold through November or revert toward historical Democratic margins exceeding 80%. Scheduled fall debates and economic data releases could influence final positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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