Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 currently trails Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 on the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, posting 62.1% against their 64.7% and 64.5% as of late August 2026 updates across 56 models. Trader sentiment centers on whether Meta can close this gap before year-end through accelerated scaling of its Llama and Muse series, targeted post-training on expert reasoning tasks, or tool-use enhancements that have lifted other frontier systems. The benchmark's expert-authored questions across domains continue to show headroom, with recent releases demonstrating steady gains but no saturation. Key catalysts include Meta's next model drops, potential internal capability jumps reported via benchmarks, and any competitive responses from OpenAI or Google that could indirectly influence relative positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$35,663 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
55%+
41%
60%+
26%
65%+
13%
70%+
8%
$35,663 वॉल्यूम
55%+
$21,493 वॉल्यूम
41%
60%+
$7,453 वॉल्यूम
26%
65%+
$5,163 वॉल्यूम
13%
70%+
$1,555 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 currently trails Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 on the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, posting 62.1% against their 64.7% and 64.5% as of late August 2026 updates across 56 models. Trader sentiment centers on whether Meta can close this gap before year-end through accelerated scaling of its Llama and Muse series, targeted post-training on expert reasoning tasks, or tool-use enhancements that have lifted other frontier systems. The benchmark's expert-authored questions across domains continue to show headroom, with recent releases demonstrating steady gains but no saturation. Key catalysts include Meta's next model drops, potential internal capability jumps reported via benchmarks, and any competitive responses from OpenAI or Google that could indirectly influence relative positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,663समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 currently trails Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 on the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, posting 62.1% against their 64.7% and 64.5% as of late August 2026 updates across 56 models. Trader sentiment centers on whether Meta can close this gap before year-end through accelerated scaling of its Llama and Muse series, targeted post-training on expert reasoning tasks, or tool-use enhancements that have lifted other frontier systems. The benchmark's expert-authored questions across domains continue to show headroom, with recent releases demonstrating steady gains but no saturation. Key catalysts include Meta's next model drops, potential internal capability jumps reported via benchmarks, and any competitive responses from OpenAI or Google that could indirectly influence relative positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$35,663समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 currently trails Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 on the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, posting 62.1% against their 64.7% and 64.5% as of late August 2026 updates across 56 models. Trader sentiment centers on whether Meta can close this gap before year-end through accelerated scaling of its Llama and Muse series, targeted post-training on expert reasoning tasks, or tool-use enhancements that have lifted other frontier systems. The benchmark's expert-authored questions across domains continue to show headroom, with recent releases demonstrating steady gains but no saturation. Key catalysts include Meta's next model drops, potential internal capability jumps reported via benchmarks, and any competitive responses from OpenAI or Google that could indirectly influence relative positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में 'ह्यूमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्जाम' में प्राप्त की गई सबसे अधिक स्कोर 60% या उससे अधिक होगी?
74%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 50% या उससे अधिक होगी?
88%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में ह्युमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्ज़ाम में ऐन्थ्रॉपिक क्लॉड मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त किया गया सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगा?
88%
हाँ
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