Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in the Maryland 1st District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s repeated victories, including 59% in 2024. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the June primary, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced with a plurality. Fundraising data shows Harris holding a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A July poll indicated Harris ahead by double digits. Traders assign Harris over 90% implied probability, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated shifts in turnout could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMD -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MD -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$62,364 वॉल्यूम
$62,364 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एंडी हैरिस (आर)
91%
डैन श्वार्ट्ज (डेमोक्रेट)
9%
$62,364 वॉल्यूम
$62,364 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एंडी हैरिस (आर)
$34,712 वॉल्यूम
91%
डैन श्वार्ट्ज (डेमोक्रेट)
$27,653 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in the Maryland 1st District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s repeated victories, including 59% in 2024. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the June primary, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced with a plurality. Fundraising data shows Harris holding a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A July poll indicated Harris ahead by double digits. Traders assign Harris over 90% implied probability, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated shifts in turnout could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62,364समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in the Maryland 1st District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s repeated victories, including 59% in 2024. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the June primary, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced with a plurality. Fundraising data shows Harris holding a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A July poll indicated Harris ahead by double digits. Traders assign Harris over 90% implied probability, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated shifts in turnout could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$62,364समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in the Maryland 1st District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s repeated victories, including 59% in 2024. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the June primary, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced with a plurality. Fundraising data shows Harris holding a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A July poll indicated Harris ahead by double digits. Traders assign Harris over 90% implied probability, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated shifts in turnout could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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