Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves and strong rural support across the district's 33 counties. The open seat, rated R+13 by partisan voting index and historically held by Republicans with wide margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his party's primary with 48 percent. Limited polling and the district's consistent structural advantage for Republican candidates in congressional races have kept implied probabilities elevated, though late shifts in national conditions, turnout in suburban Kansas City areas added by redistricting, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MO -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$43,095 वॉल्यूम
$43,095 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
क्रिस स्टिगाल (आर)
95%
जोश स्मीड (डेमोक्रेट)
6%
$43,095 वॉल्यूम
$43,095 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
क्रिस स्टिगाल (आर)
$27,455 वॉल्यूम
95%
जोश स्मीड (डेमोक्रेट)
$15,640 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves and strong rural support across the district's 33 counties. The open seat, rated R+13 by partisan voting index and historically held by Republicans with wide margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his party's primary with 48 percent. Limited polling and the district's consistent structural advantage for Republican candidates in congressional races have kept implied probabilities elevated, though late shifts in national conditions, turnout in suburban Kansas City areas added by redistricting, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$43,095समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves and strong rural support across the district's 33 counties. The open seat, rated R+13 by partisan voting index and historically held by Republicans with wide margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his party's primary with 48 percent. Limited polling and the district's consistent structural advantage for Republican candidates in congressional races have kept implied probabilities elevated, though late shifts in national conditions, turnout in suburban Kansas City areas added by redistricting, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$43,095समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves and strong rural support across the district's 33 counties. The open seat, rated R+13 by partisan voting index and historically held by Republicans with wide margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his party's primary with 48 percent. Limited polling and the district's consistent structural advantage for Republican candidates in congressional races have kept implied probabilities elevated, though late shifts in national conditions, turnout in suburban Kansas City areas added by redistricting, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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