Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent leads in multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DataTrends, where she registers 16-29% as voters select two candidates on October 4. Her alignment with the Frente Popular coalition supporting João Campos for governor and incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) bolsters visibility and consolidated support among key voter bases. Trailing contenders like Costa, Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) show lower and more variable polling shares amid a fragmented field of 12 registered candidates, while minor names remain near zero. The implied probability for Arraes finishing first reflects these survey trends and coalition dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMarília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Mendonça Filho 9.2%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.5%
$33,344 वॉल्यूम
$33,344 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Marília Arraes
72%
Humberto Costa
14%
Mendonça Filho
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
8%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Marília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Mendonça Filho 9.2%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.5%
$33,344 वॉल्यूम
$33,344 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Marília Arraes
$16,485 वॉल्यूम
72%
Humberto Costa
$9,659 वॉल्यूम
14%
Mendonça Filho
$1,357 वॉल्यूम
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
$921 वॉल्यूम
8%
Túlio Gadêlha
$625 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$658 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$667 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$630 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$668 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$585 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$565 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent leads in multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DataTrends, where she registers 16-29% as voters select two candidates on October 4. Her alignment with the Frente Popular coalition supporting João Campos for governor and incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) bolsters visibility and consolidated support among key voter bases. Trailing contenders like Costa, Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) show lower and more variable polling shares amid a fragmented field of 12 registered candidates, while minor names remain near zero. The implied probability for Arraes finishing first reflects these survey trends and coalition dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,344समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent leads in multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DataTrends, where she registers 16-29% as voters select two candidates on October 4. Her alignment with the Frente Popular coalition supporting João Campos for governor and incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) bolsters visibility and consolidated support among key voter bases. Trailing contenders like Costa, Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) show lower and more variable polling shares amid a fragmented field of 12 registered candidates, while minor names remain near zero. The implied probability for Arraes finishing first reflects these survey trends and coalition dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$33,344समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent leads in multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DataTrends, where she registers 16-29% as voters select two candidates on October 4. Her alignment with the Frente Popular coalition supporting João Campos for governor and incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) bolsters visibility and consolidated support among key voter bases. Trailing contenders like Costa, Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) show lower and more variable polling shares amid a fragmented field of 12 registered candidates, while minor names remain near zero. The implied probability for Arraes finishing first reflects these survey trends and coalition dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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