Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket due to consistent leads in recent polling and favorable government approval ratings. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows him at 40% in the first-round scenario against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and minor candidates below 2%. Mitidieri also leads in a simulated runoff and benefits from 66% approval in the same poll. With the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026, and free broadcast time allocated, trader consensus reflects his structural advantages as the front-runner in this state gubernatorial contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़ाबिओ 82%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 16%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
इमानुएल काचो <1%
$16,503 वॉल्यूम
$16,503 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
फ़ाबिओ
82%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
16%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
1%
इमानुएल काचो
<1%
डॉ. हेल्टन
<1%
रिकार्डो मार्केस
<1%
फ़ाबिओ 82%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 16%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
इमानुएल काचो <1%
$16,503 वॉल्यूम
$16,503 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
फ़ाबिओ
$13,201 वॉल्यूम
82%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
$1,222 वॉल्यूम
16%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
$537 वॉल्यूम
1%
इमानुएल काचो
$518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डॉ. हेल्टन
$582 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रिकार्डो मार्केस
$443 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket due to consistent leads in recent polling and favorable government approval ratings. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows him at 40% in the first-round scenario against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and minor candidates below 2%. Mitidieri also leads in a simulated runoff and benefits from 66% approval in the same poll. With the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026, and free broadcast time allocated, trader consensus reflects his structural advantages as the front-runner in this state gubernatorial contest.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,503समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket due to consistent leads in recent polling and favorable government approval ratings. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows him at 40% in the first-round scenario against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and minor candidates below 2%. Mitidieri also leads in a simulated runoff and benefits from 66% approval in the same poll. With the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026, and free broadcast time allocated, trader consensus reflects his structural advantages as the front-runner in this state gubernatorial contest.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$16,503समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket due to consistent leads in recent polling and favorable government approval ratings. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows him at 40% in the first-round scenario against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and minor candidates below 2%. Mitidieri also leads in a simulated runoff and benefits from 66% approval in the same poll. With the first round scheduled for October 4, 2026, and free broadcast time allocated, trader consensus reflects his structural advantages as the front-runner in this state gubernatorial contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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