Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Redistricting placed the incumbent into this Austin-area seat previously held by Lloyd Doggett, and Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout runoff but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November general election still weeks away, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for such districts, where Democratic margins have routinely exceeded 50 points in recent cycles. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -37 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -37 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$45,113 वॉल्यूम
$45,113 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ग्रेग केसार (डेमोक्रेट)
97%
लॉरेन पेना (आर)
2%
$45,113 वॉल्यूम
$45,113 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ग्रेग केसार (डेमोक्रेट)
$26,900 वॉल्यूम
97%
लॉरेन पेना (आर)
$18,214 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Redistricting placed the incumbent into this Austin-area seat previously held by Lloyd Doggett, and Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout runoff but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November general election still weeks away, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for such districts, where Democratic margins have routinely exceeded 50 points in recent cycles. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,113समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Redistricting placed the incumbent into this Austin-area seat previously held by Lloyd Doggett, and Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout runoff but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November general election still weeks away, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for such districts, where Democratic margins have routinely exceeded 50 points in recent cycles. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$45,113समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Redistricting placed the incumbent into this Austin-area seat previously held by Lloyd Doggett, and Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through a low-turnout runoff but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November general election still weeks away, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for such districts, where Democratic margins have routinely exceeded 50 points in recent cycles. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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