President Donald Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities by those nations, remains the central driver of market focus. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and other officials quickly clarified that any near-term efforts would involve subcritical experiments, hydrodynamic tests, or delivery system evaluations at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield explosive detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive tests since 1992 and relies on the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program for arsenal confidence. Resuming underground explosive tests would require 24-36 months of preparation and could trigger reciprocal actions by other nuclear states. No such tests have occurred as of September 2026, with internal administration deliberations and congressional oversight continuing to shape timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
$795,287 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर, 2026
1%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
5%
$795,287 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर, 2026
$57,555 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$76,920 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities by those nations, remains the central driver of market focus. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and other officials quickly clarified that any near-term efforts would involve subcritical experiments, hydrodynamic tests, or delivery system evaluations at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield explosive detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive tests since 1992 and relies on the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program for arsenal confidence. Resuming underground explosive tests would require 24-36 months of preparation and could trigger reciprocal actions by other nuclear states. No such tests have occurred as of September 2026, with internal administration deliberations and congressional oversight continuing to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$795,287समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities by those nations, remains the central driver of market focus. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and other officials quickly clarified that any near-term efforts would involve subcritical experiments, hydrodynamic tests, or delivery system evaluations at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield explosive detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive tests since 1992 and relies on the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program for arsenal confidence. Resuming underground explosive tests would require 24-36 months of preparation and could trigger reciprocal actions by other nuclear states. No such tests have occurred as of September 2026, with internal administration deliberations and congressional oversight continuing to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$795,287समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities by those nations, remains the central driver of market focus. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and other officials quickly clarified that any near-term efforts would involve subcritical experiments, hydrodynamic tests, or delivery system evaluations at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield explosive detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive tests since 1992 and relies on the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program for arsenal confidence. Resuming underground explosive tests would require 24-36 months of preparation and could trigger reciprocal actions by other nuclear states. No such tests have occurred as of September 2026, with internal administration deliberations and congressional oversight continuing to shape timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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