Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo holds the strongest trader consensus for the September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 constituency, reflecting his established local profile and the fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates. The contest follows an Electoral Court ruling that voided the prior winner’s mandate on bribery findings, barring both Lautimuia Uelese Vaai and Taioali’iseu Fiti Aima’asu from standing again and forcing a third poll in under 18 months. FAST-backed Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia, HRPP-linked Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo, and repeat independent Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with the absence of recent polling or decisive endorsements that would consolidate support behind any single rival ahead of the September 4 withdrawal deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो 83.8%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ 9%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो 5%
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी 3.4%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो
84%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ
9%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो
5%
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी
3%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो 83.8%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ 9%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो 5%
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी 3.4%
सूइआलो लेमीगाओइतामालिई सूइआलो
84%
नोनू लेमाउगा लाउलू विलियम मौइआ
9%
वायोफुआयुपोलु क्रिस फाओफो
5%
पुआलाटामाई तुपुओला मालेउलु फिलेमोनी
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo holds the strongest trader consensus for the September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 constituency, reflecting his established local profile and the fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates. The contest follows an Electoral Court ruling that voided the prior winner’s mandate on bribery findings, barring both Lautimuia Uelese Vaai and Taioali’iseu Fiti Aima’asu from standing again and forcing a third poll in under 18 months. FAST-backed Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia, HRPP-linked Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo, and repeat independent Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with the absence of recent polling or decisive endorsements that would consolidate support behind any single rival ahead of the September 4 withdrawal deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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