Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near single-digit margins, creating conditions where multiple races could finish under 1 percent. Recent surveys show tight races in Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Iowa (Hinson vs. Turek), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Michigan (El-Sayed vs. Rogers), New Hampshire (Pappas vs. Sununu), Ohio special (Brown vs. Husted), and Texas (Talarico vs. Paxton), with several margins at or below three points. These outcomes reflect a national environment featuring low presidential approval, Democratic advantages on the generic ballot, open seats from retirements, and varying candidate strength. With six weeks until November 3 voting, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or economic conditions could alter final spreads in these battlegrounds. Trader prices on individual states remain modest, consistent with historical difficulty predicting sub-1 percent finishes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
3 नव, 2026
Iowa
34%
Maine
21%
Ohio (Special)
21%
Texas
19%
Alaska
17%
New Hampshire
14%
Nebraska
12%
Florida (Special)
6%
Minnesota
6%
Michigan
5%
Colorado
4%
Montana
4%
North Carolina
3%
Virginia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Georgia
<1%
$5,681 वॉल्यूम
Iowa
$183 वॉल्यूम
34%
Maine
$126 वॉल्यूम
21%
Ohio (Special)
$345 वॉल्यूम
21%
Texas
$52 वॉल्यूम
19%
Alaska
$288 वॉल्यूम
17%
New Hampshire
$269 वॉल्यूम
14%
Nebraska
$186 वॉल्यूम
12%
Florida (Special)
$70 वॉल्यूम
6%
Minnesota
$186 वॉल्यूम
6%
Michigan
$707 वॉल्यूम
5%
Colorado
$985 वॉल्यूम
4%
Montana
$154 वॉल्यूम
4%
North Carolina
$689 वॉल्यूम
3%
Virginia
$157 वॉल्यूम
2%
New Mexico
$274 वॉल्यूम
2%
Georgia
$1,010 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near single-digit margins, creating conditions where multiple races could finish under 1 percent. Recent surveys show tight races in Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Iowa (Hinson vs. Turek), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Michigan (El-Sayed vs. Rogers), New Hampshire (Pappas vs. Sununu), Ohio special (Brown vs. Husted), and Texas (Talarico vs. Paxton), with several margins at or below three points. These outcomes reflect a national environment featuring low presidential approval, Democratic advantages on the generic ballot, open seats from retirements, and varying candidate strength. With six weeks until November 3 voting, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or economic conditions could alter final spreads in these battlegrounds. Trader prices on individual states remain modest, consistent with historical difficulty predicting sub-1 percent finishes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,681समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near single-digit margins, creating conditions where multiple races could finish under 1 percent. Recent surveys show tight races in Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Iowa (Hinson vs. Turek), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Michigan (El-Sayed vs. Rogers), New Hampshire (Pappas vs. Sununu), Ohio special (Brown vs. Husted), and Texas (Talarico vs. Paxton), with several margins at or below three points. These outcomes reflect a national environment featuring low presidential approval, Democratic advantages on the generic ballot, open seats from retirements, and varying candidate strength. With six weeks until November 3 voting, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or economic conditions could alter final spreads in these battlegrounds. Trader prices on individual states remain modest, consistent with historical difficulty predicting sub-1 percent finishes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$5,681समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near single-digit margins, creating conditions where multiple races could finish under 1 percent. Recent surveys show tight races in Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Iowa (Hinson vs. Turek), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Michigan (El-Sayed vs. Rogers), New Hampshire (Pappas vs. Sununu), Ohio special (Brown vs. Husted), and Texas (Talarico vs. Paxton), with several margins at or below three points. These outcomes reflect a national environment featuring low presidential approval, Democratic advantages on the generic ballot, open seats from retirements, and varying candidate strength. With six weeks until November 3 voting, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or economic conditions could alter final spreads in these battlegrounds. Trader prices on individual states remain modest, consistent with historical difficulty predicting sub-1 percent finishes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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