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icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska
Pemilihan Umum·Alaska Midterm

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska
Pemilihan Umum·Alaska Midterm

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 70.7%

Bernadette Wilson 24%

Treg Taylor 1.5%

David Bronson 1.3%

Polymarket

$1,294,889 Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 70.7%

Bernadette Wilson 24%

Treg Taylor 1.5%

David Bronson 1.3%

Polymarket

$1,294,889 Vol.

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$41,541 Vol.

71%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$174,067 Vol.

24%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$37,538 Vol.

1%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$24,124 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$161,644 Vol.

1%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$29,889 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$41,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$28,477 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$27,493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$9,308 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$130,063 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$16,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$20,844 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$51,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$116,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$338,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$19,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$12,144 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$5,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$2,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$3,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$2,828 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls from mid-September show Democratic former state Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading the four-candidate ranked-choice general election field at around 40-43% in the first round, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 20%, Dave Bronson at 14%, and Treg Taylor at 7%. In simulated RCV tabulations, Kreiss-Tomkins reaches a majority. These results have prompted forecasters to move the race toward a toss-up, citing the split among three Republicans on the ballot and concerns that some GOP voters may not fully rank alternatives. Kreiss-Tomkins has performed strongly with independents, while Wilson, the top Republican primary finisher, has urged consolidation that has yet to fully materialize ahead of the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,294,889
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls from mid-September show Democratic former state Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading the four-candidate ranked-choice general election field at around 40-43% in the first round, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 20%, Dave Bronson at 14%, and Treg Taylor at 7%. In simulated RCV tabulations, Kreiss-Tomkins reaches a majority. These results have prompted forecasters to move the race toward a toss-up, citing the split among three Republicans on the ballot and concerns that some GOP voters may not fully rank alternatives. Kreiss-Tomkins has performed strongly with independents, while Wilson, the top Republican primary finisher, has urged consolidation that has yet to fully materialize ahead of the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,294,889
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

68%
icon for Akankah Xavier Becerra memenangkan Pemilihan Gubernur California pada tahun 2026?

Akankah Xavier Becerra memenangkan Pemilihan Gubernur California pada tahun 2026?

95%
Ya
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

63%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 22 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" di 71%, diikuti oleh "Bernadette Wilson" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" telah menghasilkan $1.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska," jelajahi 22 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" adalah "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.