**Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature during Burning Man 2026?
87-88°F 100.0%
86°F or below <1%
89-90°F <1%
91-92°F <1%
$9,462 Vol.
$9,462 Vol.
86°F or below
No
87-88°F
Yes
89-90°F
No
91-92°F
No
93-94°F
No
95-96°F
No
97°F or above
No
87-88°F 100.0%
86°F or below <1%
89-90°F <1%
91-92°F <1%
$9,462 Vol.
$9,462 Vol.
86°F or below
No
87-88°F
Yes
89-90°F
No
91-92°F
No
93-94°F
No
95-96°F
No
97°F or above
No
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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