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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 23.6%

Jack Lowden 17.8%

Callum Turner 17%

Jack Barton 12.2%

Polymarket

$657,556 Vol.

No Bond chosen 23.6%

Jack Lowden 17.8%

Callum Turner 17%

Jack Barton 12.2%

Polymarket

$657,556 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$331,852 Vol.

24%

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$111,557 Vol.

18%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$52,607 Vol.

17%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$26,216 Vol.

12%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$9,059 Vol.

5%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$13,860 Vol.

4%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$16,820 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$8,913 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,021 Vol.

1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$5,886 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$4,017 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$6,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,152 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$22,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$5,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$4,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$3,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$1,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$4,988 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$2,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$8,464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$3,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$2,614 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$2,786 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds among several British actors in their 30s reflect a fluid casting process for the next James Bond, with no frontrunner yet emerging despite active auditions under director Denis Villeneuve and producers at Amazon MGM Studios. Recent reports highlight a shortlist advancing to September screen tests, including Jack Lowden—whose Slow Horses spy role and Scottish background have drawn fresh podcast buzz—and Callum Turner, whose earlier momentum from Masters of the Air and high-profile marriage has cooled slightly amid shifting industry chatter. Surprise contender Jack Barton leads some shortlists, while the 23.6% implied probability on no selection yet underscores the methodical timeline, with producer Amy Pascal signaling a possible year-end announcement ahead of 2027 production.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$657,556
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds among several British actors in their 30s reflect a fluid casting process for the next James Bond, with no frontrunner yet emerging despite active auditions under director Denis Villeneuve and producers at Amazon MGM Studios. Recent reports highlight a shortlist advancing to September screen tests, including Jack Lowden—whose Slow Horses spy role and Scottish background have drawn fresh podcast buzz—and Callum Turner, whose earlier momentum from Masters of the Air and high-profile marriage has cooled slightly amid shifting industry chatter. Surprise contender Jack Barton leads some shortlists, while the 23.6% implied probability on no selection yet underscores the methodical timeline, with producer Amy Pascal signaling a possible year-end announcement ahead of 2027 production.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$657,556
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 24 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "No Bond chosen" di 24%, diikuti oleh "Jack Lowden" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 24¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $657.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 24 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "No Bond chosen" di 24%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jack Lowden" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.