OPEC continues to coordinate output policies through monthly meetings and quota adjustments among remaining members, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, even after the UAE's May 2026 exit over production limits and amid disruptions from regional conflicts. This ongoing activity, combined with the group's history of adapting to prior departures like Angola's, underpins trader consensus that full dissolution remains improbable before year-end. Core producers retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile global demand and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Potential shifts could arise if additional major members exit or if escalating geopolitical events render collective quotas ineffective, though current evidence shows the organization prioritizing 2027 baseline negotiations rather than unraveling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
3% peluang
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output policies through monthly meetings and quota adjustments among remaining members, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, even after the UAE's May 2026 exit over production limits and amid disruptions from regional conflicts. This ongoing activity, combined with the group's history of adapting to prior departures like Angola's, underpins trader consensus that full dissolution remains improbable before year-end. Core producers retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile global demand and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Potential shifts could arise if additional major members exit or if escalating geopolitical events render collective quotas ineffective, though current evidence shows the organization prioritizing 2027 baseline negotiations rather than unraveling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$34,792Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output policies through monthly meetings and quota adjustments among remaining members, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, even after the UAE's May 2026 exit over production limits and amid disruptions from regional conflicts. This ongoing activity, combined with the group's history of adapting to prior departures like Angola's, underpins trader consensus that full dissolution remains improbable before year-end. Core producers retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile global demand and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Potential shifts could arise if additional major members exit or if escalating geopolitical events render collective quotas ineffective, though current evidence shows the organization prioritizing 2027 baseline negotiations rather than unraveling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,792Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to coordinate output policies through monthly meetings and quota adjustments among remaining members, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, even after the UAE's May 2026 exit over production limits and amid disruptions from regional conflicts. This ongoing activity, combined with the group's history of adapting to prior departures like Angola's, underpins trader consensus that full dissolution remains improbable before year-end. Core producers retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile global demand and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Potential shifts could arise if additional major members exit or if escalating geopolitical events render collective quotas ineffective, though current evidence shows the organization prioritizing 2027 baseline negotiations rather than unraveling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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