In the Republican vice presidential nomination market for 2028, traders assign Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at nearly 30 percent, driven by his Senate tenure, foreign policy experience, and broad party recognition following the 2024 cycle. The remaining field stays fragmented below 8 percent each, reflecting uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, primary dynamics, and selection criteria such as regional balance, legislative records, and alignment on immigration, trade, and national security priorities. Recent Senate leadership shifts and early positioning by governors and lawmakers have not yet consolidated support, leaving room for shifts tied to 2026 midterm results, candidate announcements, or emerging alliances ahead of the convention.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarco Rubio 30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.1%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,721 Vol.
$46,721 Vol.
Marco Rubio
30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
John Thune
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Nikki Haley
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Eric Trump
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
<1%
Tom Brady
<1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.1%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,721 Vol.
$46,721 Vol.
Marco Rubio
30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
John Thune
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Nikki Haley
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Matt Gaetz
2%
Eric Trump
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
<1%
Tom Brady
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Republican vice presidential nomination market for 2028, traders assign Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at nearly 30 percent, driven by his Senate tenure, foreign policy experience, and broad party recognition following the 2024 cycle. The remaining field stays fragmented below 8 percent each, reflecting uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, primary dynamics, and selection criteria such as regional balance, legislative records, and alignment on immigration, trade, and national security priorities. Recent Senate leadership shifts and early positioning by governors and lawmakers have not yet consolidated support, leaving room for shifts tied to 2026 midterm results, candidate announcements, or emerging alliances ahead of the convention.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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