Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid corruption investigations by NABU and SAPO targeting officials linked to the presidential circle, inter-agency clashes such as the September 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, and public protests over military leadership changes and calls for wartime elections. These developments have fueled speculation about instability around President Zelensky, whose support has declined sharply according to polling, yet Ukrainian security services have repeatedly disrupted plots before execution. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt by year-end accounts for the active role of intelligence and law enforcement in neutralizing threats, the constraints of martial law on political challenges, and the absence of coordinated action by major factions or military elements. Upcoming parliamentary proceedings on anti-corruption matters and any further resignations could test these dynamics before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$169,867 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$169,867 Vol.
December 31
$152,031 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid corruption investigations by NABU and SAPO targeting officials linked to the presidential circle, inter-agency clashes such as the September 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, and public protests over military leadership changes and calls for wartime elections. These developments have fueled speculation about instability around President Zelensky, whose support has declined sharply according to polling, yet Ukrainian security services have repeatedly disrupted plots before execution. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt by year-end accounts for the active role of intelligence and law enforcement in neutralizing threats, the constraints of martial law on political challenges, and the absence of coordinated action by major factions or military elements. Upcoming parliamentary proceedings on anti-corruption matters and any further resignations could test these dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,867Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid corruption investigations by NABU and SAPO targeting officials linked to the presidential circle, inter-agency clashes such as the September 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, and public protests over military leadership changes and calls for wartime elections. These developments have fueled speculation about instability around President Zelensky, whose support has declined sharply according to polling, yet Ukrainian security services have repeatedly disrupted plots before execution. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt by year-end accounts for the active role of intelligence and law enforcement in neutralizing threats, the constraints of martial law on political challenges, and the absence of coordinated action by major factions or military elements. Upcoming parliamentary proceedings on anti-corruption matters and any further resignations could test these dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,867Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid corruption investigations by NABU and SAPO targeting officials linked to the presidential circle, inter-agency clashes such as the September 2026 SBU-HUR shootout in Kyiv, and public protests over military leadership changes and calls for wartime elections. These developments have fueled speculation about instability around President Zelensky, whose support has declined sharply according to polling, yet Ukrainian security services have repeatedly disrupted plots before execution. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt by year-end accounts for the active role of intelligence and law enforcement in neutralizing threats, the constraints of martial law on political challenges, and the absence of coordinated action by major factions or military elements. Upcoming parliamentary proceedings on anti-corruption matters and any further resignations could test these dynamics before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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