Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Video of the Year on the strength of her record-setting history in the category and the commercial dominance of “The Fate of Ophelia” from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. The August nomination announcement placed her alongside five other contenders, with Madonna’s ambitious 13-minute visual album *Confessions II – The Film* emerging as the clearest alternative thanks to its star-studded cast, Tribeca premiere, and 11 total nods. Sabrina Carpenter’s “Tears,” Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Bruno Mars’ “I Just Might,” and GENER8ION’s “Storm” round out the field but trail in implied probability. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, where guild-style industry preferences and late momentum shifts could still influence the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVMA Video of the Year 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 24%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter) 7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
24%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
4%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
4%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 24%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter) 7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
24%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
4%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Video of the Year on the strength of her record-setting history in the category and the commercial dominance of “The Fate of Ophelia” from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. The August nomination announcement placed her alongside five other contenders, with Madonna’s ambitious 13-minute visual album *Confessions II – The Film* emerging as the clearest alternative thanks to its star-studded cast, Tribeca premiere, and 11 total nods. Sabrina Carpenter’s “Tears,” Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Bruno Mars’ “I Just Might,” and GENER8ION’s “Storm” round out the field but trail in implied probability. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, where guild-style industry preferences and late momentum shifts could still influence the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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