Recent OpenAI deployment of thousands of AI agents resolved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in days, intensifying trader focus on which remaining problem large language models will tackle next. Rumors of parallel internal progress have positioned the Hodge Conjecture and Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture as the closest contenders, with their mathematical structures appearing more amenable to current proof-search and formalization techniques than P versus NP or the Riemann Hypothesis. Market-implied odds reflect this tight race between the two, tempered by the 17.5 percent chance no further solution arrives by late 2027 amid verification hurdles and shifting lab priorities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHodge Conjecture 45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 18%
Yang-Mills 1.8%
$100,363 Vol.
$100,363 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
18%
Yang-Mills
2%
P versus NP
1%
Riemann Hypothesis
1%
Hodge Conjecture 45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 18%
Yang-Mills 1.8%
$100,363 Vol.
$100,363 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
18%
Yang-Mills
2%
P versus NP
1%
Riemann Hypothesis
1%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent OpenAI deployment of thousands of AI agents resolved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in days, intensifying trader focus on which remaining problem large language models will tackle next. Rumors of parallel internal progress have positioned the Hodge Conjecture and Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture as the closest contenders, with their mathematical structures appearing more amenable to current proof-search and formalization techniques than P versus NP or the Riemann Hypothesis. Market-implied odds reflect this tight race between the two, tempered by the 17.5 percent chance no further solution arrives by late 2027 amid verification hurdles and shifting lab priorities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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