**No** leads at 84% because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for a final agreement to be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution, has not produced results. Negotiations stalled after the initial talks in Switzerland, fighting resumed in parts of the region, and the U.S. shifted to sustained economic pressure, including a naval blockade and sanctions enforcement. As of late August, U.S. officials stated no active diplomatic channel exists, while Iran conditioned further talks on changes in U.S. conduct. With the original deadline passed and no new framework advancing toward UNSC action before year-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of near-term political or diplomatic catalysts capable of delivering the required resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
$216,286 Vol.
$216,286 Vol.
$216,286 Vol.
$216,286 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No** leads at 84% because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for a final agreement to be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution, has not produced results. Negotiations stalled after the initial talks in Switzerland, fighting resumed in parts of the region, and the U.S. shifted to sustained economic pressure, including a naval blockade and sanctions enforcement. As of late August, U.S. officials stated no active diplomatic channel exists, while Iran conditioned further talks on changes in U.S. conduct. With the original deadline passed and no new framework advancing toward UNSC action before year-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of near-term political or diplomatic catalysts capable of delivering the required resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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