**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 34.5% implied probability as defending champion returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff, while top seed Alexander Zverev sits at 23.9% on the back of his French Open title and Wimbledon final run.** Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal opened the draw, and Novak Djokovic’s first-round upset loss to Mariano Navone further consolidated chances for the top two. Alcaraz’s elite hard-court pedigree and five-set resilience offset limited recent match play, whereas Zverev benefits from superior recent form and a favorable bracket section. Younger Americans Ben Shelton (9.1%) and Taylor Fritz (7.4%) gain from home support and strong 2026 results, with hot-form players like Arthur Fils and emerging talents such as Rafael Jodar also seeing elevated pricing amid the disrupted field. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing fitness, momentum, and draw positioning on hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCarlos Alcaraz 35%
Alexander Zverev 23.9%
Ben Shelton 9.2%
Taylor Fritz 7.4%
$13,515,933 Vol.
$13,515,933 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
35%
Alexander Zverev
24%
Ben Shelton
9%
Taylor Fritz
7%
Rafael Jodar
6%
Daniil Medvedev
4%
Felix Auger Aliassime
4%
Karen Khachanov
2%
Brandon Nakashima
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Flavio Cobolli
2%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Giocatore S
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Giocatore O
1%
Valentin Vacherot
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Luciano Darderi
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Giocatore Z
<1%
Francisco Cerundolo
<1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
<1%
Giocatore Q
<1%
Arthur Rinderknech
<1%
Giocatore Y
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Giocatore R
<1%
Giocatore U
<1%
Giocatore W
<1%
Giocatore P
<1%
Giocatore T
<1%
Giocatore V
<1%
Giocatore X
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 35%
Alexander Zverev 23.9%
Ben Shelton 9.2%
Taylor Fritz 7.4%
$13,515,933 Vol.
$13,515,933 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
35%
Alexander Zverev
24%
Ben Shelton
9%
Taylor Fritz
7%
Rafael Jodar
6%
Daniil Medvedev
4%
Felix Auger Aliassime
4%
Karen Khachanov
2%
Brandon Nakashima
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Flavio Cobolli
2%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Giocatore S
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Giocatore O
1%
Valentin Vacherot
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Luciano Darderi
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Giocatore Z
<1%
Francisco Cerundolo
<1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
<1%
Giocatore Q
<1%
Arthur Rinderknech
<1%
Giocatore Y
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Giocatore R
<1%
Giocatore U
<1%
Giocatore W
<1%
Giocatore P
<1%
Giocatore T
<1%
Giocatore V
<1%
Giocatore X
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 34.5% implied probability as defending champion returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff, while top seed Alexander Zverev sits at 23.9% on the back of his French Open title and Wimbledon final run.** Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal opened the draw, and Novak Djokovic’s first-round upset loss to Mariano Navone further consolidated chances for the top two. Alcaraz’s elite hard-court pedigree and five-set resilience offset limited recent match play, whereas Zverev benefits from superior recent form and a favorable bracket section. Younger Americans Ben Shelton (9.1%) and Taylor Fritz (7.4%) gain from home support and strong 2026 results, with hot-form players like Arthur Fils and emerging talents such as Rafael Jodar also seeing elevated pricing amid the disrupted field. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing fitness, momentum, and draw positioning on hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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