Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62% implied probability following a record 73-goal season across club and country that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles with Bayern Munich plus a World Cup semifinal run for England. The 30-man shortlist released on September 8 accelerated his odds surge, reflecting trader emphasis on his volume of goals, big-game contributions, and leadership in a campaign without a major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.3% on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and continued Barcelona impact despite injury interruptions, while Kylian Mbappé at 10% benefits from PSG’s Champions League success. Rodri and others trail further behind as voters weigh collective silverware against Kane’s individual dominance ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 61.9%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Kylian Mbappé 10.0%
Rodri 6%
$34,538,735 Vol.
$34,538,735 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Harry Kane 61.9%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Kylian Mbappé 10.0%
Rodri 6%
$34,538,735 Vol.
$34,538,735 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62% implied probability following a record 73-goal season across club and country that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles with Bayern Munich plus a World Cup semifinal run for England. The 30-man shortlist released on September 8 accelerated his odds surge, reflecting trader emphasis on his volume of goals, big-game contributions, and leadership in a campaign without a major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.3% on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and continued Barcelona impact despite injury interruptions, while Kylian Mbappé at 10% benefits from PSG’s Champions League success. Rodri and others trail further behind as voters weigh collective silverware against Kane’s individual dominance ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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