Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in California's 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt and his 2024 victory by fewer than 200 votes under prior lines. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Kevin Lincoln, the former Stockton mayor, amid stronger fundraising and broader name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's fundamentals and Gray's crossover appeal on agriculture, water, and cost-of-living issues. Lincoln's path remains narrow, centered on turnout in Republican-leaning pockets and any national headwinds for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$16,049 Vol.
$16,049 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Adam Gray (D)
94%
Kevin Lincoln (R)
7%
$16,049 Vol.
$16,049 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Adam Gray (D)
$9,134 Vol.
94%
Kevin Lincoln (R)
$6,915 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in California's 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt and his 2024 victory by fewer than 200 votes under prior lines. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Kevin Lincoln, the former Stockton mayor, amid stronger fundraising and broader name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's fundamentals and Gray's crossover appeal on agriculture, water, and cost-of-living issues. Lincoln's path remains narrow, centered on turnout in Republican-leaning pockets and any national headwinds for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$16,049Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in California's 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt and his 2024 victory by fewer than 200 votes under prior lines. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Kevin Lincoln, the former Stockton mayor, amid stronger fundraising and broader name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's fundamentals and Gray's crossover appeal on agriculture, water, and cost-of-living issues. Lincoln's path remains narrow, centered on turnout in Republican-leaning pockets and any national headwinds for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,049Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in California's 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Democratic tilt and his 2024 victory by fewer than 200 votes under prior lines. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Kevin Lincoln, the former Stockton mayor, amid stronger fundraising and broader name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's fundamentals and Gray's crossover appeal on agriculture, water, and cost-of-living issues. Lincoln's path remains narrow, centered on turnout in Republican-leaning pockets and any national headwinds for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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