Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead the implied probabilities for first-round leader at the Amgen Irish Open at Trump Doonbeg, reflecting trader consensus on their links-course fit and recent form ahead of the September 10 start. Harrington, an Irish veteran making a record 31st consecutive appearance, brings unmatched local knowledge and enthusiasm at the national open despite his age. Smith enters with consistent PGA Tour results, including a T14 at the Wyndham Championship and strong showings at the Open and Scottish Open. Jon Rahm sits lower despite two prior Irish Open titles, while the broad field of contenders—from Joaquin Niemann to local players like Alex Fitzpatrick—keeps probabilities tightly clustered, as first-round leadership on coastal links often hinges on early scoring bursts and variable weather rather than overall rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdrian Meronk 74%
Adrian Otaegui 74%
Alejandro Del Rey 74%
Alex Fitzpatrick 74%
Adrian Meronk
74%
Adrian Otaegui
74%
Alejandro Del Rey
74%
Alex Fitzpatrick
74%
Liam Nolan
74%
Luke Donald
74%
Manuel Elvira
74%
Marcel Schneider
74%
Marcus Helligkilde
74%
Matt Wallace
74%
Matthew Jordan
74%
Max Kennedy
74%
Mikael Lindberg
74%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
74%
Oliver Lindell
74%
Pablo Larrazabal
74%
Angel Hidalgo
74%
Antoine Rozner
74%
Ashun Wu
74%
Ben Schmidt
74%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
74%
Brandon Stone
74%
Brooks Koepka
74%
Casey Jarvis
74%
Daniel Bradbury
74%
Daniel Gavins
74%
Daniel Hillier
74%
David Micheluzzi
74%
Dylan Frittelli
74%
Dylan Naidoo
74%
Gregorio De Leo
74%
Harry Hall
74%
Hennie Du Plessis
74%
Ignacio Elvira
74%
Jacob Skov Olesen
74%
Jason Scrivener
74%
Jayden Schaper
74%
Jeff Winther
74%
Jeong-Weon Ko
74%
Joakim Lagergren
74%
Joaquin Niemann
74%
Jordan Smith
74%
Joseph Dean
74%
Eddie Pepperell
74%
Erik van Rooyen
74%
Ewen Ferguson
74%
Francesco Laporta
74%
Frankie Capan
74%
Freddy Schott
74%
Grant Forrest
74%
Guido Migliozzi
74%
Haotong Li
74%
Ivan Cantero
74%
J. C. Ritchie
74%
Jack Senior
74%
Jacques Kruyswijk
74%
Jens Dantorp
74%
Joel Girrbach
74%
Johannes Veerman
74%
John Catlin
74%
Jon Rahm
74%
Joost Luiten
74%
Jordan Gumberg
74%
Jorge Campillo
74%
Andy Sullivan
74%
Angel Ayora
74%
Calum Hill
74%
Connor Syme
74%
Cormac Sharvin
74%
Daniel Rodrigues
74%
Danny Willett
74%
Darius van Driel
74%
David Puig
74%
Davis Bryant
74%
Francesco Molinari
74%
Mark Power
74%
Martin Couvra
74%
Matteo Manassero
74%
Michael Hollick
74%
Nathan Kimsey
74%
Jung-Hwan Lee
74%
Kazuma Kobori
74%
Kota Kaneko
74%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
74%
Laurie Canter
74%
Marcus Armitage
74%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
74%
Niklas Lemke
74%
Niklas Noergaard
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
73%
Patrick Reed
73%
Bernd Wiesberger
73%
David Ravetto
73%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
73%
Frederic Lacroix
73%
Maximilian Steinlechner
73%
Julien Guerrier
73%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
73%
Paul Waring
73%
Adrian Meronk 74%
Adrian Otaegui 74%
Alejandro Del Rey 74%
Alex Fitzpatrick 74%
Adrian Meronk
74%
Adrian Otaegui
74%
Alejandro Del Rey
74%
Alex Fitzpatrick
74%
Liam Nolan
74%
Luke Donald
74%
Manuel Elvira
74%
Marcel Schneider
74%
Marcus Helligkilde
74%
Matt Wallace
74%
Matthew Jordan
74%
Max Kennedy
74%
Mikael Lindberg
74%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
74%
Oliver Lindell
74%
Pablo Larrazabal
74%
Angel Hidalgo
74%
Antoine Rozner
74%
Ashun Wu
74%
Ben Schmidt
74%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
74%
Brandon Stone
74%
Brooks Koepka
74%
Casey Jarvis
74%
Daniel Bradbury
74%
Daniel Gavins
74%
Daniel Hillier
74%
David Micheluzzi
74%
Dylan Frittelli
74%
Dylan Naidoo
74%
Gregorio De Leo
74%
Harry Hall
74%
Hennie Du Plessis
74%
Ignacio Elvira
74%
Jacob Skov Olesen
74%
Jason Scrivener
74%
Jayden Schaper
74%
Jeff Winther
74%
Jeong-Weon Ko
74%
Joakim Lagergren
74%
Joaquin Niemann
74%
Jordan Smith
74%
Joseph Dean
74%
Eddie Pepperell
74%
Erik van Rooyen
74%
Ewen Ferguson
74%
Francesco Laporta
74%
Frankie Capan
74%
Freddy Schott
74%
Grant Forrest
74%
Guido Migliozzi
74%
Haotong Li
74%
Ivan Cantero
74%
J. C. Ritchie
74%
Jack Senior
74%
Jacques Kruyswijk
74%
Jens Dantorp
74%
Joel Girrbach
74%
Johannes Veerman
74%
John Catlin
74%
Jon Rahm
74%
Joost Luiten
74%
Jordan Gumberg
74%
Jorge Campillo
74%
Andy Sullivan
74%
Angel Ayora
74%
Calum Hill
74%
Connor Syme
74%
Cormac Sharvin
74%
Daniel Rodrigues
74%
Danny Willett
74%
Darius van Driel
74%
David Puig
74%
Davis Bryant
74%
Francesco Molinari
74%
Mark Power
74%
Martin Couvra
74%
Matteo Manassero
74%
Michael Hollick
74%
Nathan Kimsey
74%
Jung-Hwan Lee
74%
Kazuma Kobori
74%
Kota Kaneko
74%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
74%
Laurie Canter
74%
Marcus Armitage
74%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
74%
Niklas Lemke
74%
Niklas Noergaard
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
73%
Patrick Reed
73%
Bernd Wiesberger
73%
David Ravetto
73%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
73%
Frederic Lacroix
73%
Maximilian Steinlechner
73%
Julien Guerrier
73%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
73%
Paul Waring
73%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.europeantour.com/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.europeantour.com/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead the implied probabilities for first-round leader at the Amgen Irish Open at Trump Doonbeg, reflecting trader consensus on their links-course fit and recent form ahead of the September 10 start. Harrington, an Irish veteran making a record 31st consecutive appearance, brings unmatched local knowledge and enthusiasm at the national open despite his age. Smith enters with consistent PGA Tour results, including a T14 at the Wyndham Championship and strong showings at the Open and Scottish Open. Jon Rahm sits lower despite two prior Irish Open titles, while the broad field of contenders—from Joaquin Niemann to local players like Alex Fitzpatrick—keeps probabilities tightly clustered, as first-round leadership on coastal links often hinges on early scoring bursts and variable weather rather than overall rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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