The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands a 90.5% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched viewership scale, cultural dominance, and historical precedent for halftime performances sweeping the category. Traders cite the event’s massive audience reach and high-profile production as decisive factors that outpace the Oscars, Tonys, Grammys, or Golden Globes ceremonies, which typically compete in more crowded fields with narrower eligibility windows. Strong consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital, yet an upset could still materialize if Academy voters prioritize a different live broadcast’s critical reception or technical innovation at the September ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: Speciale varietà eccezionale (dal vivo)
Emmy 2026: Speciale varietà eccezionale (dal vivo)
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny 90.5%
Gli Oscar 6.5%
I Tony 4.1%
I Golden Globe <1%
$60,268 Vol.
$60,268 Vol.
14 set 2026
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny
90%
Gli Oscar
6%
I Tony
4%
I Golden Globe
<1%
I Grammy
<1%
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny 90.5%
Gli Oscar 6.5%
I Tony 4.1%
I Golden Globe <1%
$60,268 Vol.
$60,268 Vol.
14 set 2026
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny
$47,706 Vol.
90%
Gli Oscar
$6,936 Vol.
6%
I Tony
$2,152 Vol.
4%
I Golden Globe
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
I Grammy
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands a 90.5% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched viewership scale, cultural dominance, and historical precedent for halftime performances sweeping the category. Traders cite the event’s massive audience reach and high-profile production as decisive factors that outpace the Oscars, Tonys, Grammys, or Golden Globes ceremonies, which typically compete in more crowded fields with narrower eligibility windows. Strong consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital, yet an upset could still materialize if Academy voters prioritize a different live broadcast’s critical reception or technical innovation at the September ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$60,268Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands a 90.5% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched viewership scale, cultural dominance, and historical precedent for halftime performances sweeping the category. Traders cite the event’s massive audience reach and high-profile production as decisive factors that outpace the Oscars, Tonys, Grammys, or Golden Globes ceremonies, which typically compete in more crowded fields with narrower eligibility windows. Strong consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital, yet an upset could still materialize if Academy voters prioritize a different live broadcast’s critical reception or technical innovation at the September ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,268Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands a 90.5% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched viewership scale, cultural dominance, and historical precedent for halftime performances sweeping the category. Traders cite the event’s massive audience reach and high-profile production as decisive factors that outpace the Oscars, Tonys, Grammys, or Golden Globes ceremonies, which typically compete in more crowded fields with narrower eligibility windows. Strong consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital, yet an upset could still materialize if Academy voters prioritize a different live broadcast’s critical reception or technical innovation at the September ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti