Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Italian Grand Prix fastest-lap market at 26% implied probability due to Mercedes' overall pace edge at Monza, a low-downforce circuit favoring straight-line speed and energy management, though his power-unit penalty starts him from the back and complicates early-race positioning. Lando Norris sits close at 23% after McLaren's recent upgrades delivered back-to-back victories and strong long-run pace in similar layouts. George Russell, Charles Leclerc, and Lewis Hamilton cluster in the mid-teens as their teams hold competitive race trim, while tire degradation remains low enough for flexible late-pit strategies on soft compounds to hand clean-air runners a shot at the quickest lap. The bunched probabilities reflect evenly matched front-runners, variable strategies, and Monza's history of fastest laps going to drivers outside the top qualifiers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 26%
Lando Norris 23%
George Russell 14%
Charles Leclerc 13%
Kimi Antonelli
26%
Lando Norris
23%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
13%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Max Verstappen
4%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Franco Colapinto
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Lance Stroll
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Kimi Antonelli 26%
Lando Norris 23%
George Russell 14%
Charles Leclerc 13%
Kimi Antonelli
26%
Lando Norris
23%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
13%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Max Verstappen
4%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Franco Colapinto
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Lance Stroll
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Italian Grand Prix fastest-lap market at 26% implied probability due to Mercedes' overall pace edge at Monza, a low-downforce circuit favoring straight-line speed and energy management, though his power-unit penalty starts him from the back and complicates early-race positioning. Lando Norris sits close at 23% after McLaren's recent upgrades delivered back-to-back victories and strong long-run pace in similar layouts. George Russell, Charles Leclerc, and Lewis Hamilton cluster in the mid-teens as their teams hold competitive race trim, while tire degradation remains low enough for flexible late-pit strategies on soft compounds to hand clean-air runners a shot at the quickest lap. The bunched probabilities reflect evenly matched front-runners, variable strategies, and Monza's history of fastest laps going to drivers outside the top qualifiers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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