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icon for MLB: ERA Leader
Sport·MLB

MLB: ERA Leader

icon for MLB: ERA Leader
Sport·MLB

MLB: ERA Leader

Max Fried 3.6%

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,767,035 Vol.

Max Fried 3.6%

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,767,035 Vol.

Max Fried

$92 Vol.

4%

Brayan Bello

$653 Vol.

4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,891 Vol.

4%

Dylan Cease

$8,109 Vol.

3%

Tarik Skubal

$572 Vol.

3%

Nick Pivetta

$315 Vol.

3%

Hunter Brown

$561 Vol.

3%

Garrett Crochet

$323 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$9,650 Vol.

2%

Paul Skenes

$2,966 Vol.

2%

Bryan Woo

$629,734 Vol.

1%

Taj Bradley

$348 Vol.

1%

Bryce Elder

$308 Vol.

1%

Nolan McLean

$341 Vol.

1%

Clay Holmes

$329 Vol.

1%

Michael Wacha

$348 Vol.

1%

José Soriano

$1,833 Vol.

1%

Carmen Mlodzinski

$471 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Rodriguez

$1,018 Vol.

1%

Freddy Peralta

$307 Vol.

1%

Reynaldo López

$317 Vol.

1%

Chad Patrick

$291 Vol.

1%

Seth Lugo

$468 Vol.

1%

Jeffrey Springs

$1,092,633 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$308 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Boyd

$394 Vol.

<1%

Joe Ryan

$230 Vol.

<1%

Logan Webb

$460 Vol.

<1%

Gavin Williams

$328 Vol.

<1%

Emerson Hancock

$427 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Abbott

$957 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$224 Vol.

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$8,686 Vol.

<1%

Merrill Kelly

$407 Vol.

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$738 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 MLB season nearing its end, the ERA leader market remains wide open as no pitcher holds a dominant edge among qualified candidates. Key differentiators include innings-pitched thresholds for official qualification, recent form across the final weeks, and matchup difficulty against strong offenses. Contenders like Max Fried, Brayan Bello, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto benefit from solid ERAs in the low-to-mid 2.00s combined with sufficient workload, while higher-strikeout arms such as Dylan Cease and Tarik Skubal gain from swing-and-miss rates that limit earned runs. Factors like bullpen support, home/road splits, and any late injuries or rest days can shift outcomes sharply in the coming starts. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing the field evenly without a clear frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,767,035
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 MLB season nearing its end, the ERA leader market remains wide open as no pitcher holds a dominant edge among qualified candidates. Key differentiators include innings-pitched thresholds for official qualification, recent form across the final weeks, and matchup difficulty against strong offenses. Contenders like Max Fried, Brayan Bello, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto benefit from solid ERAs in the low-to-mid 2.00s combined with sufficient workload, while higher-strikeout arms such as Dylan Cease and Tarik Skubal gain from swing-and-miss rates that limit earned runs. Factors like bullpen support, home/road splits, and any late injuries or rest days can shift outcomes sharply in the coming starts. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing the field evenly without a clear frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,767,035
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: ERA Leader" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Max Fried" a 4%, seguito da "Brayan Bello" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 4¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 4% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MLB: ERA Leader" ha generato $1.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MLB: ERA Leader", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "MLB: ERA Leader" è "Max Fried" a solo 4%, con "Brayan Bello" vicino a 4%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: ERA Leader" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.