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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Jack Lowden 24.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 22.9%

Callum Turner 16%

Jack Barton 12.8%

Polymarket

$684,506 Vol.

Jack Lowden 24.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 22.9%

Callum Turner 16%

Jack Barton 12.8%

Polymarket

$684,506 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$119,453 Vol.

25%

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$332,896 Vol.

23%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$54,574 Vol.

16%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$28,166 Vol.

13%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$5,020 Vol.

8%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$4,943 Vol.

7%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$14,631 Vol.

4%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$16,893 Vol.

2%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$9,477 Vol.

2%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$24,568 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$5,844 Vol.

2%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$9,170 Vol.

2%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,094 Vol.

1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$5,959 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$6,614 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,225 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$7,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$5,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$8,537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$3,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$2,884 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$5,325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$3,741 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$2,687 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an active shortlist and early September screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold have kept the next James Bond market fluid, with no official announcement expected until late 2026 at earliest. Jack Lowden’s edge reflects insider momentum from *Slow Horses* visibility and recent industry tips positioning the Scottish actor as a strong contender, while Jack Barton’s surprising placement stems from Nina Gold’s reported scouting of lesser-known British talent suited to a multi-film run. Callum Turner benefits from established name recognition and recent personal headlines, but the crowded field and preference for a fresh, younger face in the late-20s to mid-30s range sustain high uncertainty. The substantial “no Bond chosen” share captures the deliberate, methodical pace of auditions and the absence of a confirmed frontrunner amid shifting rumors.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$684,506
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an active shortlist and early September screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold have kept the next James Bond market fluid, with no official announcement expected until late 2026 at earliest. Jack Lowden’s edge reflects insider momentum from *Slow Horses* visibility and recent industry tips positioning the Scottish actor as a strong contender, while Jack Barton’s surprising placement stems from Nina Gold’s reported scouting of lesser-known British talent suited to a multi-film run. Callum Turner benefits from established name recognition and recent personal headlines, but the crowded field and preference for a fresh, younger face in the late-20s to mid-30s range sustain high uncertainty. The substantial “no Bond chosen” share captures the deliberate, methodical pace of auditions and the absence of a confirmed frontrunner amid shifting rumors.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$684,506
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 24 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jack Lowden" a 25%, seguito da "Nessun Bond scelto" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $684.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 24 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Jack Lowden" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.