Incumbent Tom Cole's commanding position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District stems from the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Cole secured renomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, underscoring party support, while facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob, who narrowly won his primary. Cole's long tenure since 2003, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections have shaped trader consensus around high probability of reelection on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter outcomes in this low-competition environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-04
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-04
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Cole (R)
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
6%
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Cole (R)
$15,694 Vol.
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
$11,864 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Cole's commanding position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District stems from the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Cole secured renomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, underscoring party support, while facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob, who narrowly won his primary. Cole's long tenure since 2003, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections have shaped trader consensus around high probability of reelection on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter outcomes in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,558Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Cole's commanding position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District stems from the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Cole secured renomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, underscoring party support, while facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob, who narrowly won his primary. Cole's long tenure since 2003, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections have shaped trader consensus around high probability of reelection on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter outcomes in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,558Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tom Cole's commanding position in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District stems from the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Cole secured renomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, underscoring party support, while facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob, who narrowly won his primary. Cole's long tenure since 2003, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections have shaped trader consensus around high probability of reelection on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter outcomes in this low-competition environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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