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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2
Mondo·Tonga

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2
Mondo·Tonga

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2

Alvin Lafu Sika 20%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 13.9%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 13.1%

Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila 10.7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Alvin Lafu Sika 20%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 13.9%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 13.1%

Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila 10.7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Alvin Lafu Sika

$291 Vol.

20%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$238 Vol.

14%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$205 Vol.

20%

Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$179 Vol.

11%

Samiuela Vea

$190 Vol.

9%

'Olioni Manoa

$232 Vol.

9%

Lei Paasi

$166 Vol.

5%

Mounu Uaisele

$647 Vol.

5%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$1,835 Vol.

19%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over campaign spending violations tied to the 2025 general election, leaving him ineligible to run. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Malakai Koloamatangi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, Alvin Lafu Sika, Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi ‘Amanaki, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, Lei Paasi, and Mounu Uaisele. Three prospective entrants withdrew to back Koloamatangi, but the field remains fragmented with no dominant polling data or major endorsements reported since nominations. Trader consensus reflects this split support and limited recent catalysts, keeping probabilities closely balanced ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$3,983
Data di fine
8 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over campaign spending violations tied to the 2025 general election, leaving him ineligible to run. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Malakai Koloamatangi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, Alvin Lafu Sika, Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi ‘Amanaki, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, Lei Paasi, and Mounu Uaisele. Three prospective entrants withdrew to back Koloamatangi, but the field remains fragmented with no dominant polling data or major endorsements reported since nominations. Trader consensus reflects this split support and limited recent catalysts, keeping probabilities closely balanced ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$3,983
Data di fine
8 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alvin Lafu Sika" a 20%, seguito da "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 20¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 20% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è "Alvin Lafu Sika" a 20%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 20% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.