Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz in the TX-15 general election market as recent polling shows the Democratic challenger ahead or within the margin of error in the redrawn South Texas district. A late-August Texas Southern University survey gave Pulido a 50-45 edge, following an earlier July poll with a similar split, while forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up after Texas Republicans adjusted boundaries in 2025 to strengthen the GOP baseline. De La Cruz, the two-term incumbent, holds a fundraising advantage and primary dominance, yet Pulido’s primary win and visibility as a Tejano music figure have narrowed the contest in a majority-Hispanic area focused on border security, agriculture, and water issues. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$20,539 Vol.
$20,539 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
63%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
38%
$20,539 Vol.
$20,539 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
$8,622 Vol.
63%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
$11,917 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz in the TX-15 general election market as recent polling shows the Democratic challenger ahead or within the margin of error in the redrawn South Texas district. A late-August Texas Southern University survey gave Pulido a 50-45 edge, following an earlier July poll with a similar split, while forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up after Texas Republicans adjusted boundaries in 2025 to strengthen the GOP baseline. De La Cruz, the two-term incumbent, holds a fundraising advantage and primary dominance, yet Pulido’s primary win and visibility as a Tejano music figure have narrowed the contest in a majority-Hispanic area focused on border security, agriculture, and water issues. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$20,539Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz in the TX-15 general election market as recent polling shows the Democratic challenger ahead or within the margin of error in the redrawn South Texas district. A late-August Texas Southern University survey gave Pulido a 50-45 edge, following an earlier July poll with a similar split, while forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up after Texas Republicans adjusted boundaries in 2025 to strengthen the GOP baseline. De La Cruz, the two-term incumbent, holds a fundraising advantage and primary dominance, yet Pulido’s primary win and visibility as a Tejano music figure have narrowed the contest in a majority-Hispanic area focused on border security, agriculture, and water issues. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,539Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz in the TX-15 general election market as recent polling shows the Democratic challenger ahead or within the margin of error in the redrawn South Texas district. A late-August Texas Southern University survey gave Pulido a 50-45 edge, following an earlier July poll with a similar split, while forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up after Texas Republicans adjusted boundaries in 2025 to strengthen the GOP baseline. De La Cruz, the two-term incumbent, holds a fundraising advantage and primary dominance, yet Pulido’s primary win and visibility as a Tejano music figure have narrowed the contest in a majority-Hispanic area focused on border security, agriculture, and water issues. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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