Prime Minister Andy Burnham has explicitly ruled out calling an early general election, committing instead to serve the full parliamentary term that runs until automatic dissolution in July 2029 and a latest possible polling date of 15 August 2029. The Labour leader’s stance follows his July 2026 takeover after Keir Starmer’s resignation and reflects a desire to deliver on the 2024 manifesto amid mixed polling that shows Labour competitive with Reform UK but short of a majority in most projections. Recent local and devolved elections in May 2026 offered no immediate trigger for a national vote, and the fixed-term rules under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act give the government wide discretion while removing any statutory pressure before the five-year limit. Trader consensus therefore prices a near-term call as unlikely, with attention focused on whether sustained economic or polling shifts could alter the No. 10 calculus before 2029.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni nel Regno Unito indette da...?
Elezioni nel Regno Unito indette da...?
$823,762 Vol.
31 dic 2026
December 31, 2026
12%
June 30, 2027
39%
$823,762 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$27,285 Vol.
12%
June 30, 2027
$5,329 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Andy Burnham has explicitly ruled out calling an early general election, committing instead to serve the full parliamentary term that runs until automatic dissolution in July 2029 and a latest possible polling date of 15 August 2029. The Labour leader’s stance follows his July 2026 takeover after Keir Starmer’s resignation and reflects a desire to deliver on the 2024 manifesto amid mixed polling that shows Labour competitive with Reform UK but short of a majority in most projections. Recent local and devolved elections in May 2026 offered no immediate trigger for a national vote, and the fixed-term rules under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act give the government wide discretion while removing any statutory pressure before the five-year limit. Trader consensus therefore prices a near-term call as unlikely, with attention focused on whether sustained economic or polling shifts could alter the No. 10 calculus before 2029.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$823,762Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Andy Burnham has explicitly ruled out calling an early general election, committing instead to serve the full parliamentary term that runs until automatic dissolution in July 2029 and a latest possible polling date of 15 August 2029. The Labour leader’s stance follows his July 2026 takeover after Keir Starmer’s resignation and reflects a desire to deliver on the 2024 manifesto amid mixed polling that shows Labour competitive with Reform UK but short of a majority in most projections. Recent local and devolved elections in May 2026 offered no immediate trigger for a national vote, and the fixed-term rules under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act give the government wide discretion while removing any statutory pressure before the five-year limit. Trader consensus therefore prices a near-term call as unlikely, with attention focused on whether sustained economic or polling shifts could alter the No. 10 calculus before 2029.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$823,762Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Andy Burnham has explicitly ruled out calling an early general election, committing instead to serve the full parliamentary term that runs until automatic dissolution in July 2029 and a latest possible polling date of 15 August 2029. The Labour leader’s stance follows his July 2026 takeover after Keir Starmer’s resignation and reflects a desire to deliver on the 2024 manifesto amid mixed polling that shows Labour competitive with Reform UK but short of a majority in most projections. Recent local and devolved elections in May 2026 offered no immediate trigger for a national vote, and the fixed-term rules under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act give the government wide discretion while removing any statutory pressure before the five-year limit. Trader consensus therefore prices a near-term call as unlikely, with attention focused on whether sustained economic or polling shifts could alter the No. 10 calculus before 2029.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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