Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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