The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field keeps the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no contender exceeding single-digit implied probability as traders price in competition for the top slot. Leading names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer draw support for progressive visibility and Midwest swing-state executive records, respectively, while figures like Elissa Slotkin, Andy Beshear, and Raphael Warnock reflect interest in Senate or gubernatorial experience that could provide geographic or ideological balance. Many listed options maintain presidential ambitions or have signaled reluctance for the second spot, limiting consolidation. Ticket chemistry, national polling trends after the 2026 midterms, and the eventual nominee’s coalition needs remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities ahead of convention dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Gretchen Whitmer 7.4%
Elissa Slotkin 5.8%
Andy Beshear 5.7%
$94,244 Vol.
$94,244 Vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
LeBron James
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
James Talarico
4%
Barack Obama
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Gina Raimondo
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Gretchen Whitmer 7.4%
Elissa Slotkin 5.8%
Andy Beshear 5.7%
$94,244 Vol.
$94,244 Vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
LeBron James
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
J.B. Pritzker
4%
James Talarico
4%
Barack Obama
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Gina Raimondo
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field keeps the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no contender exceeding single-digit implied probability as traders price in competition for the top slot. Leading names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer draw support for progressive visibility and Midwest swing-state executive records, respectively, while figures like Elissa Slotkin, Andy Beshear, and Raphael Warnock reflect interest in Senate or gubernatorial experience that could provide geographic or ideological balance. Many listed options maintain presidential ambitions or have signaled reluctance for the second spot, limiting consolidation. Ticket chemistry, national polling trends after the 2026 midterms, and the eventual nominee’s coalition needs remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities ahead of convention dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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