Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and selection of Nasdaq with lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley set the stage for an October listing window, aligning with the market’s 57% implied probability for that month. Recent reporting shows the public prospectus now targeted for late September and marketing to begin mid-October at the earliest, still allowing completion before November midterms while the company finalizes a $15 billion revolving credit facility. Strong fundamentals, including expectations of a second consecutive profitable quarter and gross margins above 80%, support the aggressive timeline ahead of rival OpenAI, which has ruled out a 2026 debut. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and institutional roadshow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年10月 57%
2026年11月 20.3%
2026年12月 7.6%
2027年3月 4.0%
$223,226 Vol.
$223,226 Vol.
2026年9月
1%
2026年10月
57%
2026年11月
20%
2026年12月
8%
2027年1月
4%
2027年2月
4%
2027年3月
4%
2027年4月
4%
2027年5月
1%
2027年6月
1%
2027年7月
1%
2027年8月
1%
2027年9月
1%
2027年10月
1%
2027年11月
1%
2027年12月
1%
2028年以前に上場しない
1%
2026年10月 57%
2026年11月 20.3%
2026年12月 7.6%
2027年3月 4.0%
$223,226 Vol.
$223,226 Vol.
2026年9月
1%
2026年10月
57%
2026年11月
20%
2026年12月
8%
2027年1月
4%
2027年2月
4%
2027年3月
4%
2027年4月
4%
2027年5月
1%
2027年6月
1%
2027年7月
1%
2027年8月
1%
2027年9月
1%
2027年10月
1%
2027年11月
1%
2027年12月
1%
2028年以前に上場しない
1%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and selection of Nasdaq with lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley set the stage for an October listing window, aligning with the market’s 57% implied probability for that month. Recent reporting shows the public prospectus now targeted for late September and marketing to begin mid-October at the earliest, still allowing completion before November midterms while the company finalizes a $15 billion revolving credit facility. Strong fundamentals, including expectations of a second consecutive profitable quarter and gross margins above 80%, support the aggressive timeline ahead of rival OpenAI, which has ruled out a 2026 debut. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and institutional roadshow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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