Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
99%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
1%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
$1,950 Vol.
99%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
$851 Vol.
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$2,801終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
音量
$2,801終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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