The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 37%
The Debut 12.3%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
2027/03/14
Wild Horse Nine
37%
The Debut
12%
Obsession
12%
Digger
10%
Fjord
6%
The Invite
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Drama
4%
Josephine
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
8%
The Black Ball
7%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 37%
The Debut 12.3%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
2027/03/14
Wild Horse Nine
$19,813 Vol.
37%
The Debut
$153 Vol.
12%
Obsession
$154 Vol.
12%
Digger
$694 Vol.
10%
Fjord
$1,423 Vol.
6%
The Invite
$39 Vol.
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 Vol.
5%
The Drama
$39 Vol.
4%
Josephine
$59 Vol.
4%
A Place in Hell
$59 Vol.
4%
Club Kid
$43 Vol.
3%
The Odyssey
$59 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$39 Vol.
2%
Fatherland
$39 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Vol.
8%
The Black Ball
$97 Vol.
7%
Forgotten Island
$79 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
音量
$22,958終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,958終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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