Incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus at 78% for the Republican and 20.5% for Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa. Texas's partisan composition and Abbott's record as a three-term governor provide structural advantages, reinforced by his primary win and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $67 million compared to Hinojosa's roughly $3 million. Recent polling aggregates show a narrowing contest, with Abbott leading by low single digits or tied in September surveys from Emerson, Siena, and others, driven by Hinojosa's emphasis on affordability, property taxes, and education amid voter concerns over costs. Independents remain a key swing group, though the market pricing incorporates historical Republican performance and base turnout patterns ahead of the November election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$125,801 Vol.
$125,801 Vol.

グレッグ・アボット(共和党)
78%

ジーナ・ヒノホサ(民主党)
21%
$125,801 Vol.
$125,801 Vol.

グレッグ・アボット(共和党)
78%

ジーナ・ヒノホサ(民主党)
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Greg Abbott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus at 78% for the Republican and 20.5% for Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa. Texas's partisan composition and Abbott's record as a three-term governor provide structural advantages, reinforced by his primary win and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $67 million compared to Hinojosa's roughly $3 million. Recent polling aggregates show a narrowing contest, with Abbott leading by low single digits or tied in September surveys from Emerson, Siena, and others, driven by Hinojosa's emphasis on affordability, property taxes, and education amid voter concerns over costs. Independents remain a key swing group, though the market pricing incorporates historical Republican performance and base turnout patterns ahead of the November election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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