Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place the CDU between 18% and 21%, reflecting a sharp decline from its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s former lead candidate, Regierender Bürgermeister Kai Wegner, withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, with Stefan Evers now heading the ticket in the CDU–SPD coalition. Gains by Die Linke (often 19–22%) and AfD (around 18%) have tightened the race, while SPD support has fallen to the low teens. Late-August and early-September surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa cluster most consistently in the 17–20% range, with occasional readings near 21%, producing the current trader consensus around the two central bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano17-20% 46%
20-23% 28%
<17% 20%
23%+ 3.9%
$12,987 Wol.
$12,987 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
20%
17-20%
46%
20-23%
28%
23%+
4%
17-20% 46%
20-23% 28%
<17% 20%
23%+ 3.9%
$12,987 Wol.
$12,987 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
$3,847 Wol.
20%
17-20%
$4,629 Wol.
46%
20-23%
$2,658 Wol.
28%
23%+
$1,853 Wol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place the CDU between 18% and 21%, reflecting a sharp decline from its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s former lead candidate, Regierender Bürgermeister Kai Wegner, withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, with Stefan Evers now heading the ticket in the CDU–SPD coalition. Gains by Die Linke (often 19–22%) and AfD (around 18%) have tightened the race, while SPD support has fallen to the low teens. Late-August and early-September surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa cluster most consistently in the 17–20% range, with occasional readings near 21%, producing the current trader consensus around the two central bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,987Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place the CDU between 18% and 21%, reflecting a sharp decline from its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s former lead candidate, Regierender Bürgermeister Kai Wegner, withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, with Stefan Evers now heading the ticket in the CDU–SPD coalition. Gains by Die Linke (often 19–22%) and AfD (around 18%) have tightened the race, while SPD support has fallen to the low teens. Late-August and early-September surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa cluster most consistently in the 17–20% range, with occasional readings near 21%, producing the current trader consensus around the two central bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$12,987Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place the CDU between 18% and 21%, reflecting a sharp decline from its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s former lead candidate, Regierender Bürgermeister Kai Wegner, withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, with Stefan Evers now heading the ticket in the CDU–SPD coalition. Gains by Die Linke (often 19–22%) and AfD (around 18%) have tightened the race, while SPD support has fallen to the low teens. Late-August and early-September surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa cluster most consistently in the 17–20% range, with occasional readings near 21%, producing the current trader consensus around the two central bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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