Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by his narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat, combined with mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward a clearer Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with a substantial lead over Republican Kevin Lincoln, backed by superior fundraising and cash reserves that outpace his opponent. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan balance and Gray's incumbency advantages in a Central Valley seat. A major national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts among key voter groups could still narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
$16,049 Wol.
$16,049 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,049 Wol.
$16,049 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,134 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,915 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by his narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat, combined with mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward a clearer Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with a substantial lead over Republican Kevin Lincoln, backed by superior fundraising and cash reserves that outpace his opponent. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan balance and Gray's incumbency advantages in a Central Valley seat. A major national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts among key voter groups could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,049Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by his narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat, combined with mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward a clearer Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with a substantial lead over Republican Kevin Lincoln, backed by superior fundraising and cash reserves that outpace his opponent. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan balance and Gray's incumbency advantages in a Central Valley seat. A major national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts among key voter groups could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,049Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by his narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat, combined with mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward a clearer Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary with a substantial lead over Republican Kevin Lincoln, backed by superior fundraising and cash reserves that outpace his opponent. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan balance and Gray's incumbency advantages in a Central Valley seat. A major national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts among key voter groups could still narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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